By Bob Williams, Stevensville
From 1952 through 1988, except for 1962, a Republican won the popular vote, for US President. From 1992 until now, with two exceptions, a Democrat won the US Presidency. Except in 2004 when George W. Bush won the Presidency with 50.7% of the popular vote. In 2016, Donald Trump won the US Presidency, with 46.1% of the popular vote.
Incumbent President Trump received 46.9% of the popular vote in 2020.
Take a good look at where the voters in the 2016 Federal Election live, according to one, independent person:
https://www.arcgis.com/apps/webappviewer/index.html?id=8732c91ba7a14d818cd26b776250d2c3
Expand that ArcGIS map, noticing that red dots, also blue dots, indicate numbers of voters. Dot size is proportional to voter numbers.
Right away, you may notice concentrations of blue dots, near the West Coast, also near the East Coast. After a while you may notice that the blue dots are mostly in urban-suburban areas. And that the red dots are very often in rural areas.
Notice such in Washington, Montana, and the Dakotas.
Check out the rest of that map, then give more thought than usual to this news.
In the most recent Gallup political preference poll, 40% of the people identified as Independents. 31% said they were Democrats. 26% identified themselves as Republican.
Urban-suburban areas probably vote for candidates of the Democratic party.
Rural areas probably vote for candidates of the Republican party.
In 2016, was Donald J. Trump elected to the US Presidency, by rural voters?
If so, how did such not get featured by your news, and views, sources, and commentators?
Now go figure how Donald Trump won the 2020 Presidential election.
In weeks ahead, you may come to understand the mindset, of over 50% of polled Republicans, who now say the 2020 Presidential election involved fraud and lacked integrity.
Bob Williams says
Thankyou for those two accurate, well said paragraphs about how in 2020, Donald Trump lost the suburban vote.
Questions remain for other readers..
How did Trump win the 2020 Presidential election if he only got 46.9% of the popular vote? While Joe Biden received 51.3% of the popular vote. Authorities agree that Trump lost that election by over seven million popular votes. In my opinion only, if Trump somehow won the popular vote of battleground states of Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania, he still would have lost the Electoral College vote for President.
What is the mind set with over half of polled Republicans
who now say the 2020 Presidential election involved fraud and a lack of integrity?
I’m honestly looking for answers to that question.
And to this better question:
What might be the major mind sets of those polled Republicans?
Howard S. says
The logic here is a little tough to follow, but I think the author is implying that because rural voters went for Trump in ’16 and ’20, he must have won the ’20 election?
Only about 20% of the U.S. population lives in “rural” areas. Even if Trump got all of the rural vote (he didn’t), that’s not enough to win the presidency. There were swings from Trump in ’16 to Biden in ’20 in suburban areas all over the country, but especially in a few key states. That’s why Biden won.
Educated whites, especially white women, were willing to take a chance in ’16, but had seen enough of the clown show and voted for quiet, drama-free competence in ’20.